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2014/01/20: Tech & Comments: Full Analysis

January 20, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/01/20: Technical Projections and Select Comments (as of Friday’s US Close)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

Technical Projections and Select Comments: Monday, January 20, 2014 (as of Friday’s US Close)

Current Rohr Technical Projections - Key Levels & Select Comments are available in the sidebar (with the full analysis also linked to the graphic on the left.)

[The current Weekly Report & Event Calendar is also already available via the title link in the right-hand sidebar]

We have elected to hold off on the typical weekend global multi-asset class TrendView Video analysis. That is both due to today’s Martin Luther King Day holiday for all US markets, and the degree to which our Friday morning video anticipated much of what was going to be trend-critical early this week. It is the case that all markets are now more or less following through on our very extensive Friday morning multi-asset class TrendView Video analysis. That includes the govvies still keeping the bid with a lot of divergence.

That extends to foreign exchange seeing even greater divergence on the Australian dollar’s sharp reversal of its early week strength last week into the failure we suspected was still possible. And the degree was even a bit greater than anticipated on the utter failure from the AUD/USD .9000-50 resistance area last Monday into utter failure to a new low that left a major ‘outside week’ along the way.

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Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, Bund, calendar, comments, DAX, debt, divergence, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Gilt, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Pound, S&P 500, T-note, technical, TREND, US dollar, Yen

2014/01/17: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

January 17, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/01/17: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Friday, January 17, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

While there has been some divergence, it is still important to note the quick recovery out of Monday’s weakness in the equities. That is most apparent in the March S&P 500 future not remaining below Monday’s 1,827 short-term channel DOWN Break. That has that area back into support for an attempt to push up through resistance at the 1,846.50 high that it neared on Wednesday. That is the hurdle to reaching the weekly topping line and oscillator resistance that moves up to the 1,865-70 area into next week.  

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the degree to which the equities remain bullish on mostly positive economic data in spite of last Friday’s US Employment numbers. As we have noted, that was likely due to anticipation of weak US Retail Sales on Tuesday morning that did NOT materialize. And some of the ‘country’ divergence due to considerably different data is reflected in all the asset classes.

That still includes the govvies maintaining their firm tone on a general sense of weak inflation numbers, with the foreign exchange showing the reinstatement of the weak Asia versus strong Europe tendencies.   

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 01:05 and intermediate-term at 02:45, then the other equities from 03:30, with govvies analysis beginning at 05:55 and short money forwards at 11:40. Foreign exchange begins with the US Dollar Index at 14:50, jumping over to Europe at 16:00 and Asia at 19:00, followed by the cross rates at 24:00, and a return to the March S&P 500 future for short term charts and summary comment at 28:50. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Summary Perspective is available via the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Australia, Australian Employment, Bund, comments, Construction, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, employment, equities, Euro, fixed income, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, GDP, Gilt, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Pound, report, Retail Sales, S&P 500, T-note, technical, TREND, UK Retail Sales, US dollar, US Employment, US Retail Sales, Yen

2014/01/16: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Concise Highlights (early)

January 16, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/01/16: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Thursday, January 16, 2014 (early)

Concise Trend Highlights

The lack of any major failure response in the equities due to last Friday’s weak US Employment report was followed by the Monday selloff. That this was temporary anticipation that did not actually turn the trend down is most apparent in the March S&P 500 future not remaining back below the previous 1,829 short-term channel DOWN Break from a week ago Friday; or the 1,827 fresh Monday DOWN Break. That has turned those areas back into support for an attempt to push up through resistance at the 1,846.50 high that it neared yesterday. A test of the 1,860 topping line and oscillator resistance is the next resistance above that.

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the degree to which the equities remain bullish on mostly positive economic data in spite of last Friday’s US Employment numbers. As noted previous, Monday’s selloff was likely due to anticipation of weak US Retail Sales on Tuesday morning that did NOT materialize. Hence the sustained rally back up on Tuesday into yesterday. And the govvies that were positively thrilled by last Friday’s economic weakness are still holding up well in the wake of combined weak Japanese economic data and especially Australian Employment today.

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 01:50 and intermediate-term at 04:00, then onto the govvies at 06:00, moving over to the US Dollar Index at 09:00, jumping over to EUR/USD at 09:30 and AUD/USD at 10:10, EUR/AUD at 11:35, and a return to the March S&P 500 future for short term charts and summary comment at 12:20. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Summary Perspective is available via the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Australia, Australian Employment, Bund, comments, DAX, debt, dollar, employment, equities, Euro, fixed income, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, GDP, Gilt, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Pound, report, S&P 500, T-note, technical, TREND, US dollar, US Employment, US Retail Sales. Retail Sales. German CPI, Yen

2014/01/15: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

January 15, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/01/15: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Wednesday, January 15, 2014 (early)

 

Global View: All Markets  

It is important to note the lack of any major failure response in the equities due to last Friday’s weak US Employment report was followed by the Monday selloff. That is most apparent in the March S&P 500 future not remaining back below the previous 1,829 short-term channel DOWN Break from a week ago Friday or the 1,827 fresh Monday DOWN Break. That has turned those areas back into support for an attempt to push up through resistance at the 1,846.50 high for at least a test of the 1,860 topping line and oscillator resistance.

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the degree to which the equities remain bullish on mostly positive economic data in spite of last Friday’s US Employment numbers. As we have noted, that was likely due to anticipation of weak US Retail Sales on Tuesday morning that did NOT materialize. Hence the sustained rally back up yesterday. And the govvies that were positively thrilled by last Friday’s economic weakness after holding into lower supports are now easing back to key levels, with the foreign exchange still showing a bit of a reversal of the weak Asia versus strong Europe tendencies.   

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 03:00 and intermediate-term at 04:50, then the other equities from 05:50, with govvies analysis beginning at 10:50 and short money forwards at 15:50. Foreign exchange begins with the US Dollar Index at 19:00, jumping over to Europe at 19:50 and Asia at 21:15, followed by the cross rates at 24:00, and a return to the March S&P 500 future for short term charts and summary comment at 26:15. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[TheWeekly Report & Event Calendar is available via the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Australia, Bund, comments, DAX, debt, dollar, employment, equities, Euro, fixed income, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, GDP, Gilt, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Pound, report, S&P 500, T-note, technical, TREND, US dollar, US Employment, US Retail Sales. Retail Sales. German GDP, Yen

2014/01/13: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Concise Highlights (late)

January 13, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/01/13: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (late)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Monday, January 13, 2014 (late)

Concise Trend Highlights

The equities finally failing in the near term after last Friday’s weak US Employment report may have more to do with the weak guidance being put out by the retailers into tomorrow morning’s US December Retail Sales report. That is most apparent in the March S&P 500 future slipping back below the previous 1,829 short-term channel DOWN Break from a week ago Friday. It was accompanied by the drop below last Thursday’s 1,824.50 low to confirm an 1,827 failure (fresh DOWN Break) out of the very short-term up channel support as well. The burden of proof has shifted to the bulls on the short term trend.  

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the degree to which the equities remain bullish unless tomorrow’s US December Retail Sales report is a real bust (which we do not expect just yet.) And the govvies have been positively thrilled by the recent signs of economic weakness after holding into lower supports, with the foreign exchange showing a bit of a reversal of the weak Asia versus strong Europe tendencies (but not necessarily any sort of trend reversal just yet.)   

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 03:10 and intermediate-term at 06:10, then onto the NIKKEI 09:50, with the March T-note future at 11:40, moving over to the US Dollar Index at 13:35, jumping over to EUR/USD at 14:25 and AUD/USD at 15:25, EUR/AUD at 17:10, and a return to the March S&P 500 future for short term charts and summary comment at 18:40. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Calendar is available via the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged ADP Employment, analysis, Australia, Bund, China, comments, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, employment, equities, Euro, fixed income, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Gilt, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Pound, report, S&P 500, T-note, technical, TREND, US dollar, US Employment, Yen
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