2014/02/25: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

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TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Tuesday, February 25, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

After yesterday’s ‘Ecstasy and Agony’ in the US equities, this Global View also notes the degree to which markets might be nervous about the major influences later this week. That will be reviewed at some length in the Weekly Summary Perspective and video discussion. However it is important to note that in addition to the typically heavy end of month economic data there is also more than usual impact from major economic meetings that are continuing all week. We mention this because rather than any specific factor, it might just have been a bit of general jitters in front of all that which encouraged yesterday’s late session equities reaction.

That said, the equities weakness is assisting recently weak govvies for now, and also weighing a bit on the US dollar once again. Which looks a bit odd on the surface: somewhat better than expected data this week is bringing some equities pain where the roundly weak economic data last week only saw firm activity. We can count on the market to be a bit perverse at times, and we seem to be there right now.     

So we must keep an eye on the interim March S&P 500 future support in the 1,838 area to see if any further erosion back down to 1,820 interim support that held so well last week is possible. Of course, the more major support remains into the 1,804 Negated DOWN Break. And as noted since late last week, any push back above the old 1,846.50 all-time futures high will run into weekly oscillator resistance at 1,860-65 this week.

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the influences noted above, including the degree to which the Japanese data is particularly disappointing after all of their recent stimulus. Yet, Chinese, European and UK data is firm even if yesterday’s limited US reports were disappointing heading into further US data today.  

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 02:30 and intermediate-term at 04:20, then the other equities from 06:40, with govvies analysis beginning at 09:45 (including discussion of the significant discounts in the June contracts as the quarterly expiration cycle begins next week) and short money forwards at 16:40. Foreign exchange begins with the US Dollar Index at 19:20, jumping over to Europe at 20:50 and Asia at 23:55, followed by the cross rates at 27:50 (including an expanded EUR/GBP weekly chart), and a return to the March S&P 500 future at 31:30 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Calendar and Friday’s Current Rohr Technical Projections - Key Levels & Select Comments are available via the link in the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis’ General Update

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2014/02/21: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Friday, February 21, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

This unusual successive day of Global View is provided due to a subtle yet meaningful change in the activity in the government bond futures. It was most interesting that they were weak in the face of such roundly soft economic data of late. And that now works hand in glove with the US equities rebound from Wednesday’s selloff. At this point the govvies weakness makes this feel like something other than the ‘bad news is good news’ psych on potential central bank accommodation. It is acting more so like some sort of anticipation that possibly the weak data is indeed a winter weather impact that will improve as spring sets in.

Especially as the March S&P 500 future pushed back up from only interim 1,820 support rather than need to retest the more major 1,804 Negated DOWN Break, the attempt to exceed the 1,846.50 all-time futures high trade set at the end of last year is back in play. And it is therefore important to note that into next week the next weekly oscillator resistance is up into 1,860-65. We shall see.

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the influences noted above; including the degree to which the economic data across all geographic areas has been on the weak to very-weak side all week, with only a few select high points.

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 01:45 and intermediate-term at 04:35, then the other equities from 06:20, with govvies analysis beginning at 09:15 (including an expansion of the weekly chart for the Bund) and short money forwards at 13:45. Foreign exchange begins with the US Dollar Index at 16:20, jumping over to Europe at 17:40 and Asia at 20:30, followed by the cross rates at 23:50 (including an expanded EUR/GBP weekly chart), and a return to the March S&P 500 future at 27:35 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Calendar and Weekly Report & Event Summary Perspective are available via the link in the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis’ General Update

Read more...

2014/02/20: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Thursday, February 20, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

As noted since early last week, the strength of the equities in the wake of all-around weak data was a sign of a psychological change. Especially as the March S&P 500 future pushed back above both the 1,793 late January interim high as well as the 1,804 prominent daily channel DOWN Break into early last week. And Negating the latter on Janet Yellen’s House testimony last Tuesday turned it into at least short term support.

And yet, some concerns about the central bank minutes released yesterday (see below) help the bears to finally experience short-term success after March S&P 500 future got very near its 1,846.50 all-time high from the end of last year. Based upon certain short-term indicators (see the opening section of the video analysis) finally defusing the past two weeks aggressive upside momentum, a swing back down to lower supports now appears in order. Whether that turns into some sort of more major correction is yet to be seen.

The video timeline begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) factor discussion of the degree to which the equities are under pressure after the FOMC minutes made more mention of a potential rate hike than previous, even if that is still not coming for a long time. And the degree to which the Bank of England minutes showed it to be more concerned about the labor market than was expected after the less accommodative Inflation Report was also a negative yesterday. Added to that are weakness in the Chinese and European PMI's, Japanese Trade Balance, Italian Industrial Orders and Sales, and the UK CBI numbers as well. However, any more major decision is still pending on US CPI, and especially the Philly Fed and Leading Indicators later this morning.

It moves on from there to the March S&P 500 future short-term trend view at 02:45 and intermediate-term at 05:20, then the other equities from 06:40, with govvies analysis beginning at 08:20 and short money forwards at 11:20. Foreign exchange begins with the US Dollar Index at 13:50, jumping over to Europe at 14:35 and Asia at 16:40, followed by the cross rates at 19:45, and a return to the March S&P 500 future at 24:20 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

[The Weekly Report & Event Calendar and Friday’s Current Rohr Technical Projections - Key Levels & Select Comments are available via the link in the sidebar]

The TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK is accessible below.

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers Click ‘Read more’ to access TrendView Video Analysis’ General Update

Read more...