2014/06/18: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)
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TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Wednesday, June 18, 2014 (early)
FED-ralysis prevails. Even Tuesday’s across the board weak data could not dent a September S&P 500 future that remains convinced that Janet Yellen will remain more accommodative than not at this afternoon’s FOMC press conference. And as it has been the very well-established tendency for the US equities (and others in their wake) to keep a modest bid in front of the FOMC announcements, this time seems no different. Especially with improved overnight economic data elsewhere and no trend-decisive US releases prior to the FOMC decision and press conference, look for the continued steady bid in front of the FOMC. What happens after that is another matter. These FED-ralysis bids in the equities are notorious for lapsing into weaker activity over the following couple of days if the economic data is weak. After all, in spite of some bright spots, there is good reason the Fed remains concerned about the US economy going forward.
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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above, and especially notes the relief of the government bond markets that this morning’s Bank of England MPC minutes release was not more hawkish than anticipated. That and the lack of any key US data today leave the major influence squarely with the FOMC.
It moves on to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:15 and intermediate term at 05:15, then the OTHER EQUITIES from 06:35, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 10:00 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 16:40. Due to the lack of any change from Tuesday’s Concise Highlight video analysis and basically Friday’s Global View General Update write-up as well, we only view the US DOLLAR INDEX at 21:15 and discuss the balance of FOREIGN EXCHANGE from 22:10, with a return to SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE at 23:00 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.
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Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and Brief Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.
2014/06/19: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)
2014/06/19: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)
© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.
The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers
TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Thursday, June 19, 2014 (early)
FED-phoria replaces short term US equities paralysis that had stalled the markets over the past couple of weeks since the lead contract S&P 500 future had hit (and attempted to exceed) a 1,938 upside Runaway Gap Objective. And as it turned out on various projections, the 1,935-38 area was a key resistance in the September contract which becomes lead contract after the June future expires today. Its push back above that area yesterday was not just a nominal violation of resistance. It was also fresh short term acceleration to the upside which left the bears in total disarray. Very predictable.
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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above and below plus the degree to which the economic data was strong even prior to the FOMC announcement and press conference. It also notes that the US Weekly Claims, Leading Indicators and Philly Fed are not only the further influences today. They are the last US data of the week into a generaly slow data day on Friday. So it is going to be a psychological and geopolitical finish to this strong US equities week.
It moves on to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:00 and intermediate term at 05:15, then the OTHER EQUITIES from 06:35, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 09:50 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 16:35. FOREIGN EXCHANGE begins with the US DOLLAR INDEX at 20:00, jumping over to EUROPE at 21:45 and ASIA at 24:50, followed the CROSS RATES at 28:00 (with an expanded EUR/GBP weekly chart to review the critical nature of .8000-.7950), and a return to SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE at 32:00 for a final view and additional perspective. As this is an especially extensive analysis due to renewed movement in foreign exchange, even more so than usual we suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.
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Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and General Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.
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