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2014/06/19: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

June 19, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/06/19: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Thursday, June 19, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

FED-phoria replaces short term US equities paralysis that had stalled the markets over the past couple of weeks since the lead contract S&P 500 future had hit (and attempted to exceed) a 1,938 upside Runaway Gap Objective. And as it turned out on various projections, the 1,935-38 area was a key resistance in the September contract which becomes lead contract after the June future expires today. Its push back above that area yesterday was not just a nominal violation of resistance. It was also fresh short term acceleration to the upside which left the bears in total disarray. Very predictable.

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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above and below plus the degree to which the economic data was strong even prior to the FOMC announcement and press conference. It also notes that the US Weekly Claims, Leading Indicators and Philly Fed are not only the further influences today. They are the last US data of the week into a generaly slow data day on Friday. So it is going to be a psychological and geopolitical finish to this strong US equities week.  

It moves on to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:00 and intermediate term at 05:15, then the OTHER EQUITIES from 06:35, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 09:50 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 16:35. FOREIGN EXCHANGE begins with the US DOLLAR INDEX at 20:00, jumping over to EUROPE at 21:45 and ASIA at 24:50, followed the CROSS RATES at 28:00 (with an expanded EUR/GBP weekly chart to review the critical nature of .8000-.7950), and a return to SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE at 32:00 for a final view and additional perspective. As this is an especially extensive analysis due to renewed movement in foreign exchange, even more so than usual we suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

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Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and General Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, BoE, BoJ, Bund, calendar, Carney, China, comments, Crude Oil, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, employment, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, FOMC, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Germany, Gilt, IMF, Indicators, Iran, Iraq, Isis, Japan, Lagarde, LTRO, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, PMI, Pound, QE, S&P 500, T-note, taper, technical, TLTRO, TREND, UK, US dollar, Yellen, Yen

2014/06/18: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

June 18, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/06/18: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Wednesday, June 18, 2014 (early)

Concise Highlights   

FED-ralysis prevails. Even Tuesday’s across the board weak data could not dent a September S&P 500 future that remains convinced that Janet Yellen will remain more accommodative than not at this afternoon’s FOMC press conference. And as it has been the very well-established tendency for the US equities (and others in their wake) to keep a modest bid in front of the FOMC announcements, this time seems no different. Especially with improved overnight economic data elsewhere and no trend-decisive US releases prior to the FOMC decision and press conference, look for the continued steady bid in front of the FOMC. What happens after that is another matter. These FED-ralysis bids in the equities are notorious for lapsing into weaker activity over the following couple of days if the economic data is weak. After all, in spite of some bright spots, there is good reason the Fed remains concerned about the US economy going forward.

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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above, and especially notes the relief of the government bond markets that this morning’s Bank of England MPC minutes release was not more hawkish than anticipated. That and the lack of any key US data today leave the major influence squarely with the FOMC.

It moves on to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:15 and intermediate term at 05:15, then the OTHER EQUITIES from 06:35, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 10:00 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 16:40. Due to the lack of any change from Tuesday’s Concise Highlight video analysis and basically Friday’s Global View General Update write-up as well, we only view the US DOLLAR INDEX at 21:15 and discuss the balance of FOREIGN EXCHANGE from 22:10, with a return to SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE at 23:00 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

_____________________________________________________________

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and Brief Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, BoE, BoJ, Bund, calendar, Carney, China, comments, Crude Oil, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, employment, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, FOMC, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Germany, Gilt, IMF, Indicators, Iran, Iraq, Isis, Japan, Lagarde, LTRO, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, PMI, Pound, QE, S&P 500, T-note, taper, technical, TLTRO, TREND, UK, US dollar, Yen

2014/06/17: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

June 17, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/06/17: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Tuesday, June 17, 2014 (early)

Concise Highlights   

FED-ralysis. Yep, another bout of market paralysis in front of the FOMC announcement, and especially when there’s the additional wild card of it being a press conference meeting. However, we caution that on historic form this likely means a constructive tone in the equities. Some Fed governors and regional officials have recently mentioned the potential for rate hikes sooner than currently expected. We don’t buy it, as Janet Yellen has nothing to lose by maintaining accommodative rhetoric and shifting quickly if the data ever requires it. And while the somewhat more hawkish view was reinforced by a more hawkish speech by BoE Governor Carney last Thursday, that was significantly mitigated by this morning’s across-the-board weaker than expected UK inflation data (it all gets released at the same time each month over there… PPI, CPI and the Retail Price Index.) And then there was yesterday’s missive from the IMF’s Madame Lagarde.

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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above and below plus the only US data today being CPI and the Housing Starts and Building Permits. It also notes the BoJ and BoE minutes release prior to the FOMC announcement and press conference tomorrow.

It moves on to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:15 and intermediate term at 04:45, mention of OTHER EQUITIES from 06:30, and mention of the GOVVIES and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 07:05. Moving on to analysis of the FOREIGN EXCHANGE begins with the US DOLLAR INDEX at 08:35 and EUROPE at 10:05, moving on to ASIA at 12:15 and the CROSS RATES at 15:15, with a return to the SEPTEMBER S&P 500 FUTURE short term charts at 19:25 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you. 

_____________________________________________________________

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and Brief Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, BoE, BoJ, Bund, calendar, Carney, China, comments, Crude Oil, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, employment, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, FOMC, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Germany, Gilt, Indicators, Iran, Iraq, Isis, Japan, Lagarde, LTRO, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, PMI, Pound, QE, S&P 500, T-note, taper, technical, TLTRO, TREND, UK, US dollar, Yen

2014/06/16: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

June 16, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/06/16: TrendView VIDEO: Concise Highlights (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Monday, June 16, 2014 (early)

Concise Highlights   

As we noted last Friday, the markets seem to be back to ‘Bad news is… bad news.’ For the first time in quite a while central bank psychology outside of ECB and BoJ is less accommodative to a degree that does NOT leave weaker data as an assumed driver for higher equities prices. That is the message from the Fed’s QE taper, even if it has been taking a very accommodative ‘low rate’ line at the same time (until some members of late.) But nowhere has that shift to less dovish indications been more prominent that in the UK, where the BoE has been poised to move to higher rates sooner than other banks for some time. That is in deference to their somewhat more persistent inflation problem as well as relatively stronger data. And that was dramatically reinforced by BoE Governor Carney’s Mansion House speech Thursday evening. That had a pronounced impact on various areas, and most especially equities on what is now a very much less upbeat central bank. Of course, all of that is in conjunction with turmoil in Iraq. That is both sending energy prices higher and creating more concern over global terrorism than seen in quite some time.

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Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above plus mentioning the only remaining economic reports worth watching today are US JOLTS and Wholesale Inventories and Sales.

It moves on to the JUNE S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 01:30 and intermediate term at 03:30 (we will be switching over to September future after the US Close today), then the OTHER EQUITIES from 05:40, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 09:50 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 12:30. Due to the lack of any change from Friday’s Global View we only discuss FOREIGN EXCHANGE from 15:40, with a return to JUNE S&P 500 FUTURE at 16:30 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

_____________________________________________________________

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and Brief Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, BoE, BoJ, Bund, calendar, China, comments, Crude Oil, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, employment, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, FOMC, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Germany, Gilt, Indicators, Iran, Iraq, Isis, Japan, LTRO, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, PMI, Pound, QE, S&P 500, T-note, taper, technical, TLTRO, TREND, UK, US dollar, Yen

2014/06/13: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

June 13, 2014 Rohr-Blog Leave a comment

2014/06/13: TrendView VIDEO: Global View (early)

© 2014 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The analysis videos are reserved for Gold and Platinum Subscribers

TrendView VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Friday, June 13, 2014 (early)

Global View: All Markets  

It seems ‘Bad news is… bad news.’ For the first time in quite a while central bank psychology outside of the ECB and BoJ is less accommodative to a degree that does not leave weaker data as an assumed driver for higher equities prices. That is the message from the Fed’s QE taper, even if it has been taking a very accommodative ‘low rate’ line at the same time (until some members of late.) But nowhere has that shift to less dovish indications been more prominent that in the UK, where the BoE has been poised to move to higher rates sooner than other banks for some time. That is in deference to their somewhat more persistent inflation problem. Yet it was dramatically reinforced by BoE Governor Carney’s Mansion House speech yesterday evening. That had a pronounced impact on various areas, and most especially equities on what is now a very much less upbeat central bank.    

_____________________________________________________________

Video Timeline: It begins with macro (i.e. fundamental influences) discussion of some of the factors noted above plus mentioning the only remaining economic reports worth watching today are US JOLTS and Wholesale Inventories and Sales.

It moves on to the JUNE S&P 500 FUTURE short-term trend view at 02:45 and intermediate term at 05:55, then the OTHER EQUITIES from 06:50, with GOVVIES analysis beginning at 11:20 and SHORT MONEY FORWARDS at 16:20. FOREIGN EXCHANGE begins with the US DOLLAR INDEX at 19:40, jumping over to EUROPE at 20:50 and ASIA at 23:30, followed the CROSS RATES at 26:20 (with an expanded EUR/GBP weekly chart to review the critical nature of .8150 and .8000-.7950), and a return to JUNE S&P 500 FUTURE at 29:50 for a final view and additional perspective. We suggest using the timeline cursor to access the analysis most relevant for you.

_____________________________________________________________

Authorized Gold and Platinum Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion and TrendView Video Analysis and General Update. Silver and Sterling Subscribers click ‘Read more…’ to access the balance of the opening discussion.

Read more...

Rohr Market Research Tagged analysis, Asia, Australia, BoE, BoJ, Bund, calendar, Carney, China, comments, DAX, debt, dollar, Draghi, ECB, economic, employment, equities, Euro, Europe, Fed, fixed income, FOMC, Foreign Exchange, FTSE, Germany, Gilt, Indicators, Iraq, Isis, Japan, macro, macro-technical, NIKKEI, Obama, PMI, Pound, Putin, QE, Russia, S&P 500, T-note, taper, technical, TREND, UK, Ukraine, US dollar, World Bank, Yen
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